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November 28th NBA news ... Welcome to NBA basketball line, the site which contains everything you need in order to score a profit during the NBA season.
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This site was created with the NBA bettor in mind. Whether you need an up to the minute line or the latest betting trends on your favorite team; this site will provide you with all of that information and more. If you truly want to cash in on the NBA, you must visit this site daily.
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NBA Finals: Heat locking in on the present, not what summer brings
How the Heat fare in their NBA Finals rematch with the San Antonio Spurs might dictate what happens in July, when James, Chris Bosh and Dwyane Wade can become free agents if they choose. A looming offseason of decisions has been a taboo subject for the Heat "Big 3" this season, and Wade insisted Monday that Miamis stars have not said a word to each other about what may or may not happen.
"Im not lying," Wade said.
Still, as long as Miami keeps winning, it seems logical the "Big 3" will stay together.
"I want to come back. Thats OK to say, I think," Bosh said Monday after the Heat finished their first workout in preparation for the NBA Finals, which begin Thursday in San Antonio. "I cant speak for anything else and I dont want to take away from the subject at hand, but I like it here. Its Miami. Enough said. People are dying to get here."
Regardless of the outcome of this Heat-Spurs series, there will be changes to the Heat, which is an annual rite for just about every team. James, Wade and Bosh can all opt out of their current deals. Shane Battier is retiring, Ray Allen may think about doing the same, while Mario Chalmers, James Jones and Rashard Lewis are notable free-agents-in-waiting.
Its not just the "Big 3" who arent thinking too far ahead, yet.
Allen said no one in the room is looking past anything but this series especially with the Spurs Tim Duncan saying San Antonio will get it done this year after falling short against the Heat last season. But as James noted, both teams have their own motivation.
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NBA: Cleveland at Boston (7:00E – ESPN)2010-05-07
Lost in all of the talk about the elbow injury to LeBron James has been the fact that the Boston Celtics have thoroughly outplayed the Cleveland Cavaliers in the first two games of their second round NBA Eastern Conference playoff series. Game 3 is set for Friday evening and oddsmakers at Sportsbook.com seem to be missing the point as well, positioning the Cavaliers as 1-point road favorites.
It was just two years ago; General Manager Danny Ainge formed his version of VH1’s “super group”, bringing together Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen to play with Paul Pierce. This was matched by immediate success as the trio blended skills perfectly on the way to a NBA championship.
But that was then. Now KG cannot play a full season as his once youthful legs are betraying him. Allen can still run an opponent crazy going thru a maze of screens, but the quick-triggered jumper is not as reliable as the old days. Pierce was main force in the championship season and he was “the man” whenever Boston needed a clutch basket. Today he is more of a role player, an additional scorer, not someone who can be counted on regularly.
Its new era in Bean-Town and Rajon Rondo is the new leader. The Celtics now go where Rondo takes them.
After a disappointing regular season that left Boston as the fourth seed, The Three Amigos are trying to keep up with the speedy Rondo and are 5-2 SU and ATS in the postseason. The Celtics have been playing tremendous basketball, really only having the equivalent of four less than desirable quarters of hoops among its seven games that accounted for both losses.
Rondo is not about numbers, he’s about results. His outside shooting is below average, he still goes “Road Runner” fast and commits more turnovers than necessary, but he’s smarter player today.
Rondo finds the open man sooner, he will make a steal and be gone two steps before his opponent even reacts and runs down a rebound like he knew the angle of the miss just as the shooter released the ball.
After earning split in Cleveland, Rondo and his teammates truly believe they are better than the Cavaliers and he will look to abuse more Cavs defenders this weekend in front of the home folks.
Sportsbook.com has Boston as single point home underdogs and the Celtics are 8-2-1 ATS when catching 4.5-point or fewer points at TD Garden and will try to keep lethargic Cleveland squad playing the same way.
When Cleveland fans hear about elbow problems, baseball is what usually comes to mind. It’s quite evident however that LeBron James is laboring with this issue. Still, this doesn’t mean the rest of the team can’t make shots and play defense. The Cavs have been outplayed for 6 ½ quarters in this series and everyone will find out a lot in Game 3 about a team that is 7-3 ATS off a double digit home loss.
The StatFox Powerline for this game shows that Boston should be favored by 4 points.
NBA: Eastern Conference Playoff Odds2010-04-15
The same four teams that held home court advantage in the 2009 Eastern Conference playoffs will do so once again in 2010. Cleveland, Orlando, Boston, and Atlanta have been head & shoulders above the rest of the conference when you consider the entire body of work. Now sure each of these teams has had its peaks and valleys this season, but over the course of 5-1/2 months, they have separated themselves from the pack. The bottom half of the East is intriguing, only in the sense that Miami, Milwaukee, and Charlotte have played their best ball down the stretch and have shown signs of being streaky good, or at least good enough to win a series early. The picture was muddied last week with the Andrew Bogut injury for the Bucks, and seemingly, Orlando, Atlanta, and Boston will be hoping for that matchup in the first round. The Bobcats are making a first ever appearance in the postseason. The #8 spot in the East came down to Chicago, who used a late season push to clinch the seed on the season’s final night. Here’s a look at each Eastern Conference playoff club along with their odds and reasons as to why they can/can’t reach the ultimate destination.
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win NBA Title: +2000
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win Eastern Conference: +1000
Reasons they can win: Atlanta’s franchise is in growth mode, with the young nucleus gaining more and more valuable experience each passing season. The Hawks won 50 games in a season for the first time in 12 years.
Reasons they can't: The Hawks’ combined record vs. the Cavaliers, Magic, and Celtics over the last three seasons is 13-31. Those are obviously the three teams standing in the way of a trip to the finals. They also don’t play nearly as well on the road as the “Big 3”.
StatFox Steve’s projection: Won’t make it past second round, received favorable matchup in first round vs. Bogut-less Milwaukee club.
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win NBA Title: +900
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win Eastern Conference: +400
Reasons they can win: This is the most experienced team in the NBA when it comes to playoff success. Beyond the core title group of two years ago, the Celtics have now added Rasheed Wallace to the mix. Games with Cleveland of late have been both intense and competitive, leaving signs of a potential upset.
Reasons they can't: Boston at times this season has looked not so much experienced, but just plain old. Kevin Garnett in particular doesn’t seem to have the bounce he did two years ago in the title run. Orlando has been a thorn in the Celtics’ side.
StatFox Steve’s projection: On VERY THIN ICE in first round vs. Miami. Look for a long series which will eventually doom them in round two should they be fortunate to advance.
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win NBA Title: +10000
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win Eastern Conference: +5000
Reasons they can win: The Bobcats give up the fewest points in the NBA and seem almost too naïve to understand they shouldn’t be winning this many games at this point. They also won 30+ games at home.
Reasons they can't: The only spots in which Charlotte boasts playoff winning experience are at Head Coach, with Larry Brown, and ownership, with Michael Jordan. Opponents won’t be overwhelmed by their youthful exuberance.
StatFox Steve’s projection: Won’t be surprised to see Charlotte win a game or two vs. Orlando, only at home, but that’s it.
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win NBA Title: +30000
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win Eastern Conference: +10000
Reasons they can win: Last year’s dramatic playoff series with Boston in the first round is still fresh in the minds of the Bulls’ players still on the roster. The most important one, the player who took the team on his shoulders, is still in place: Derrick Rose.
Reasons they can't: Assuming Chicago makes the 8-team East field, this team doesn’t have the scoring punch of the ’09 team, ranking higher than only six other clubs in points per game.
StatFox Steve’s projection: With Cleveland’s penchant for taking care of business early, don’t be surprised to see the Bulls out in five games.
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win NBA Title: +150
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win Eastern Conference: -300
Reasons they can win: Is this finally the year that LeBron gets his ring? It better be according to those who could see James leaving this summer without a title. The pieces are in place, this is the league’s best team, and the Cavs should be at full strength for the playoffs.
Reasons they can't: Cleveland’s postseason memories with James in the fold have always ended in disappointment, most often making it at least a round shy of where expected. There really are no excuses this time for not making the Finals, but James’ free throw & outside shooting could stand in the way. Also, the Cavs have had trouble with the Magic.
StatFox Steve’s projection: With the conference finals loss from a year ago fresh on their minds, the Cavs take out the Magic then go on to their first NBA title.
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win NBA Title: +8000
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win Eastern Conference: +4000
Reasons they can win: Dwyane Wade. Let’s face it, the playoffs are built for the superstars. There are only a couple of players more capable than Wade of putting a team on their back and winning playoff series’. Plus, the entire cast has actually played its best down the stretch.
Reasons they can't: It’s very difficult to upset three straight opponents en route to a conference title. That’s the path the Heat have to take again in 2010.
StatFox Steve’s projection: Last spring, the Heat took the Hawks to seven games in the first round. Boston is in for that same kind of challenge this season. Don’t be shocked by an upset.
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win NBA Title: +10000
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win Eastern Conference: +4000
Reasons they can win: The Bucks have been undervalued by everyone from oddsmakers to the guy down the street with a passing interest in the NBA all season. As evidence, they covered pointspreads at a near-record pace. Even with the Bogut injury, Milwaukee had one of the top records in the NBA after the all-star break, getting after it on the defensive end.
Reasons they can't: The Bogut injury was both devastating and deflating. He was having the best year of his career. Without him, there is a big void in the middle. With him, there was playoff inexperience and a void in the 3-4 positions.
StatFox Steve’s projection: It won’t be nearly as easy of an ouster as experts are projecting post-Bogut, but the Hawks will take them out in a competitive series.
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win NBA Title: +600
Sportsbook.com Odds to Win Eastern Conference: +250
Reasons they can win: I’ll admit I was off in predicting a decline by the Magic after the trade for Vince Carter. He’s had a big year and is the offensive playmaker this team has lacked down the stretch of games in recent postseasons. Oh yeah, they also boast the league’s best big man and can shoot the 3-point shot as well as anyone.
Reasons they can't: Other East teams boast stronger benches than Orlando, and have been more effective on the road than Stan Van Gundy’s club.
StatFox Steve’s projection: Over the last three seasons, Orlando boasts a winning mark against all other East playoff teams. However, I still believe this is Cleveland’s year.
NBA: Friday Night NBA ESPN Doubleheader2010-02-09
ESPN brings another NBA doubleheader to your living room tonight, with the Bulls taking on the Hawks in the first game and Denver visiting the Lakers in the nightcap. Both games find the hosts favored by 8-points at Sportsbook.com, but the betting action is split entirely opposite. At last check on the BETTING TRENDS page, 80% of bettors were backing the favored Hawks, but almost 90% preferred the underdog Nuggets.
The Bulls (23-24, 2-23-2 ATS) lost the first two games of a recent seven-game road swing, but stunningly closed with five consecutive victories over teams with winning records - the first time that’s been done on the same trip in NBA history. They looked flat in a 90-82 loss to the Los Angeles Clippers upon returning home Tuesday, and had their road streak snapped Wednesday in Philadelphia against a team which entered with a 7-16 home record.
Chicago is 18-6 ATS playing against a team with a winning record in the half of the season over the last two years.
The Bulls were focused at the beginning of their trip to Atlanta on Dec. 9, trailing the Hawks (31-17, 30-18 ATS) by one after a quarter. Atlanta, however, outscored Chicago 65-36 over the next two quarters en route to a 118-83 win. Joe Johnson scored a season-high 40 points, but Crawford was limited to 14. Atlanta is 8-9 when Crawford is held under 15. Three of Johnson’s six career 40-point games have come against the Bulls and his team is 14-6 ATS facing a club with a losing record this season, winning by 12.5 points per game.
Sportsbook.com has Atlanta listed as 8-point favorites with total of 197 and they are 20-5 and 17-8 ATS at home. The Hawks win by 10.2 PPG at Phillips Arena and are 23-13 ATS as a favorite and are 11-1 OVER as home chalk of 6.5 to 12 points this season.
Even with Chicago’s record close to their recent road excursion, they still are an unflattering 9-16 as visitors (12-13 ATS). What the Bulls have been able to do is counter aggressive offenses and are 12-3 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams scoring 99 or more points per game in the second portion of the year over the last two seasons. This leads to Chicago being 13-5 UNDER against shooting teams making 46 percent or more of their shots. Tipoff will be just after 8:00 Eastern on ESPN.
Following the Eastern clash is a matchup between the Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets bringing two of the league’s premier scorers into the spotlight. There’s a chance neither could play this time, though. With Kobe Bryant nursing a sore left ankle and Carmelo Anthony recovering from a left ankle sprain, Friday night’s meeting between division leaders could be missing some of its luster. Bryant will be a game-time decision for the Pacific Division-leading Lakers (38-12, 22-26-2 ATS).
Anthony hasn’t been nearly as durable for the Northwest-leading Nuggets (33-16, 22-25-2 ATS) as usual. The former Syracuse star is tied with Oklahoma City’s Kevin Durant for the league lead in scoring with an average of 29.7 points, but sat out the first five games in January because of a right knee contusion and has missed Denver’s last six games with an injured ankle. The Nuggets lost for just the fourth time without their three-time All-Star forward in Wednesday’s 109-97 home defeat to Phoenix. Denver is 3-7 ATS after a SU defeat.
The Lakers have had a decisive advantage against the Nuggets in Los Angeles, winning 21 of 23 meetings (15-6 ATS) there since Bryant’s rookie season in 1996-97. The Lakers are enjoying similar success at Staples Center this season, posting a league-best 24-3 home record; however are a pedestrian 13-13-1 against the spread.
Denver is 3-8-1 ATS in last dozen road contests and is 5-12 ATS playing with one day off. The underdog Nuggets are 11-3 UNDER taking on a team with a winning record. The Lakers are a 50-50 proposition after a victory since the end of December with 5-5-2 ATS mark and they are 10-3 UNDER if their opponent has winning record. In last fourteen meetings between these Western Conference clubs the UNDER is 11-3.
NBA: Charlotte uprising leads to upset?2009-12-01
Since Charlotte returned to the NBA as the Bobcats in 2004, losing has been synonymous with the franchise. The most recent coach hired to lure fans back to professional basketball is the much-traveled Larry Brown, the Billy Martin of basketball for those old enough to have heard of him. This season the Bobcats are 7-9 and are second to Atlanta in the league covering the spread with an 11-5 record. On Tuesday, they’ll play as a home dog of 3.5-points to Boston. The Sportsbook.com Betting Trends page shows over 90% of the early money backing the Celtics, so bettors aren’t buying the hype on Charlotte.
Brown is an ornery sort, who eventually wears out his welcome, nonetheless he knows how to coach and win basketball games by maximizing his players’ talents. Coincidently, if the players aren’t interested in Brown’s methodology, they usually sit and are eventually traded.
Charlotte’s style of play couldn’t be more contrarian to say Phoenix, since they play a controlled defensive game, which coach Brown believes gives them the best opportunity to win.
While ranking just ahead of 0-17 New Jersey in points scored at 88.2, Charlotte leads the NBA in fewest points allowed at 87.9 per game and it’s just not playing at slower pace, since they are third in defensive field goal percentage (43.3).
To this point of the season, the Bobcats are establishing a quality home court advantage with 6-2 SU and ATS record. Charlotte ranks sixth among NBA teams on their home court, with a +9.1 score differential. Only the elite clubs like Phoenix, Boston, Denver, San Antonio and the L.A. Lakers have a wider margin playing at home.
Charlotte has won and covered four in a row and oddsmakers have taken notice. The Bobcats face Boston this evening and the Celtics have the second best record in the Eastern Conference at 13-4 (7-10 ATS).
Sportsbook.com has Boston as 3.5-point road favorites and the Celtics are 6-1 as road warriors, but have covered just three times. They also have won four consecutive games (2-2 ATS) and are 9-3-1 ATS against teams with winning home records.
However, don’t discount Charlotte’s obvious edges. The C’s have a bigger game at San Antonio in two days and might not bring game face to North Carolina. This is a test for the Bobcats to get a read they are moving in the right direction and they are 27-14 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last two seasons. If you trust trends, especially powerful ones, the Bobcats 15-1 ATS record after allowing 85 points or less cannot be ignored.
Is Charlotte with wagering consideration tonight at 7:00 Eastern? Backed with the knowledge they are 9-1 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last two seasons, winning by 9.7 points a game, than the answer is yes.
The StatFox Power Line shows Boston by 1, meaning their could be some value on the home dog at Sportsbook.com.